Font Size:
A longitudinal analysis of the degree of accomplishment of anti-corruption measures by Italian municipalities: a latent Markov approach
Last modified: 2018-04-26
Abstract
The recent Italian anti-corruption law has introduced a new figure,
the supervisor for corruption prevention, who has to fill in an annual report
about the accomplishment of anti-corruption measures within the institution
he/she represents. Using data coming from such annual reports referred to a
sample of Italian municipalities, a latent Markov model is fitted to investigate
the evolution over time of the degree of accomplishment of anti-corruption
measures. First results evidence three latent states of increasing virtuosity.
Moreover, at the beginning of the study, the most of the sample belongs to
the low and intermediate states of virtuosity, even if there is evidence of high
probabilities to move to upper states over time.
the supervisor for corruption prevention, who has to fill in an annual report
about the accomplishment of anti-corruption measures within the institution
he/she represents. Using data coming from such annual reports referred to a
sample of Italian municipalities, a latent Markov model is fitted to investigate
the evolution over time of the degree of accomplishment of anti-corruption
measures. First results evidence three latent states of increasing virtuosity.
Moreover, at the beginning of the study, the most of the sample belongs to
the low and intermediate states of virtuosity, even if there is evidence of high
probabilities to move to upper states over time.
References
1. Bartolucci, F., Farcomeni, A., Pennoni, F.: Latent Markov Models for Longitudinal Data. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL (2013)
2. Carloni, E.: Italian anti-corruption and transparency policy. In: Grasse, A., Grimm, M., Labitzke, J. (eds) Italien zwischen Krise und Aufbruch. Auf demWeg zur dritten Republik?, p.25. Wiesbaden, Springer Fachmedien (in press)
3. Gnaldi, M., Del Sarto, S.: Characterising Italian municipalities according to the
annual report of the prevention-of-corruption supervisor: a Latent Class approach, In: Petrucci, A., Verde, R. (eds.) Data Science: new challenges, new generations. Proceedings of the Conference of the Italian Statistical Society, pp. 513-518. FUP, Firenze (2017)
4. Del Sarto, S., Gnaldi, M.: Considerazioni sull’efficacia delle relazioni del Responsabile della Prevenzione della Corruzione come strumento di prevenzione. In: Gnaldi, M., Ponti, B. (eds.) Misurare la corruzione oggi: obiettivi, metodi, esperienze. Franco Angeli, Roma (in press)
5. Gnaldi, M., Del Sarto, S.: Corruption prevention: first evidences from the 2015 RPC survey for Italian municipalities (in press)
6. Schwarz, G.: Estimating the dimension of a model. Ann Stat, 6, 461—464 (1978)
7. Wiggins, L.M.: Panel Analysis: Latent Probability Models for Attitude and Behaviour Processes. Elsevier, Amsterdam (1973)
2. Carloni, E.: Italian anti-corruption and transparency policy. In: Grasse, A., Grimm, M., Labitzke, J. (eds) Italien zwischen Krise und Aufbruch. Auf demWeg zur dritten Republik?, p.25. Wiesbaden, Springer Fachmedien (in press)
3. Gnaldi, M., Del Sarto, S.: Characterising Italian municipalities according to the
annual report of the prevention-of-corruption supervisor: a Latent Class approach, In: Petrucci, A., Verde, R. (eds.) Data Science: new challenges, new generations. Proceedings of the Conference of the Italian Statistical Society, pp. 513-518. FUP, Firenze (2017)
4. Del Sarto, S., Gnaldi, M.: Considerazioni sull’efficacia delle relazioni del Responsabile della Prevenzione della Corruzione come strumento di prevenzione. In: Gnaldi, M., Ponti, B. (eds.) Misurare la corruzione oggi: obiettivi, metodi, esperienze. Franco Angeli, Roma (in press)
5. Gnaldi, M., Del Sarto, S.: Corruption prevention: first evidences from the 2015 RPC survey for Italian municipalities (in press)
6. Schwarz, G.: Estimating the dimension of a model. Ann Stat, 6, 461—464 (1978)
7. Wiggins, L.M.: Panel Analysis: Latent Probability Models for Attitude and Behaviour Processes. Elsevier, Amsterdam (1973)
Full Text:
PDF